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Tetapan Transaksi Real-Time
RM
Ringkasan Kos Transaksi (Beli) Bawah RM100k
Nilai Dagangan (Trade Value) RM 0.00
Jumlah Caj (Total Charges) RM 0.00
Jumlah Kos Bersih (Perlu Dibayar) RM 0.00
Komponen Caj Amaun (RM)
Yuran Brokerage (Brokerage Fee) Kadar: 0.42% (Min RM40.00) RM 0.00
Duti Setem (Stamp Duty) RM1.00 setiap RM1,000 (Maks RM1,000) RM 0.00
Yuran Penjelasan (Clearing Fee) 0.03% daripada Nilai Dagangan RM 0.00
SST ke atas Brokerage Kadar Semasa: 0% RM 0.00
Jumlah Keseluruhan Caj RM 0.00
Analisis Pulang Modal (Breakeven):
Harga saham perlu mencecah sekurang-kurangnya RM 0.000 (kenaikan +0.00%) untuk menampung kos pusingan penuh (Beli & Jual).
Disalin ke papan keratan!

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Stochastics Buy & Sell Signals

How to Read a Stochastic Chart












In addition to giving clear buy and sell signals, the Stochastic technical analysis indicator is also helpful in detecting price divergences and confirming trend.



How to Read a Stochastic Chart

Buy Signal 

When the Stochastic is above the 80 overbought line and the %K line crosses below the %D line, sell.

There are two common ways to interpret these waves. The first is based on when the red and blue lines cross. A potential buy signal is generated when the blue line crosses above the red line, and a potential sell signal is generated when the red line crosses above the blue line.

Sell Signal

When the Stochastic is above the 80 overbought line and the %K line crosses below the %D line, sell.
The second way to translate these charts is based on a reading of the blue line (%K). When %K is at 20 or below, the stock is considered to be oversold . When %K goes above 20, the stock should be bought. On the other hand, when %K is at 80 or above, the stock is considered to beoverbought , and when %K goes below 80, the stock should be sold
Stochastics come in two flavors: fast and slow. Fast stochastics produce more buy and signals than slow stochastics, but some of the signals produced by fast Stochastics may be "false." Slow Stochastics produce fewer, but "stronger" signals.

Stochastic Fast


Stochastic Fast plots the location of the current price in relation to the range of a certain number of prior bars (dependent upon user-input, usually 14-periods). In general, stochastics are used to measure overbought and oversold conditions. Above 80 is generally considered overbought and below 20 is considered oversold. The inputs to Stochastic Fast are as follows:
  • Fast %K: [(Close - Low) / (High - Low)] x 100
  • Fast %D: Simple moving average of Fast K (usually 3-period moving average)

Stochastic Slow

Stochastic Slow is similar in calculation and interpretation to Stochastic Fast. The difference is listed below:
  • Slow %K: Equal to Fast %D (i.e. 3-period moving average of Fast %K)
  • Slow %D: A moving average (again, usually 3-period) of Slow %K



Monday, January 19, 2015

UMW Oil & Gas : Accumulate Now

Target RM3.43 (Stock Rating: ADD)

Naga 7 will be delivered by month-end as scheduled, we learned from our recent communication with management. In typical UMW-OG style, the jack-up was snapped up for work six months before the construction is completed. Naga 8, which will be delivered in Sep, is still not contracted, but we think that it will not be for long as management actively bids for 29 contracts worth RM5.6bn. We continue to value the stock at 15x CY16 P/E, on par with our target market P/E. We keep our Add call, with a Middle Eastern foray and a Naga 8 contract as potential re-rating catalysts.

What Happened 
We recently touched base with UMW-OG's management on its two newbuilds, namely jack-ups Naga 7 and Naga 8. Naga 7 is now 99.02% completed and is set for delivery by month-end. The jack-up has been signed up to service a 120-day, US$20m contract with Frontier Oil in the Philippines effective next month, with an option for a 180-day extension. Meanwhile, Naga 8, which is expected to join the fleet in Sep this year, is 66.85% underway. Management has yet to clinch a contract for the jack-up, but it remains very active in the bidding circuit, gunning for 29 contracts worth RM5.6bn. As at Dec 2014, the company had an order book of RM1.9bn. 

What We Think 
We are encouraged that UMW-OG's fleet expansion is on track. Secured in Jul 2014, the early contract for Naga 7 should allay any concerns about the company's ability to deliver Naga 7 and Naga 8. We are also heartened that management has demonstrated an astute pricing power. The Frontier Oil contract for Naga 7 translates into an attractive daily charter rate (DCR) of US$166,667/day, which is higher than the regional average of US$140,000-150,000/day. Furthermore, the company last month landed a 100-day, US$18.7m contract with PetroVietnam for end-client Korea National Oil Corporation in Vietnam starting Jun this year. Excluding mobilisation cost, the DCR works out to US$160,000/day, impressive in the current industry environment and matching the DCR that the jack-up is currently fetching from its PTTEP's Myanmar contract, which was secured in Jul 2014. 

What You Should Do 
We advise investors to accumulate UMW-OG shares. The company has evolved from a local player to a force to be reckoned in Southeast Asia, and is now on the verge of being a global player if it secures a contract in the Middle East by year-end.

ChartStock NameLastChangeVolume 
UMWOG2.75+0.15 (5.77%)2,727,100 



Source : CIMB Research

Thursday, January 15, 2015

CIMB Research advises investors to accumulate Perisai shares (Star)

CIMB Equities Research advises investors to accumulate Perisai Petroleum shares as it retains the target price at 63 sen, which is an upside of 46.8% over the last traded price of 43 sen.
“We conservatively removed two idle assets, namely mobile offshore production unit Rubicone and pipelay barge E3, from our forecasts. Should management secure contracts for these assets, the swing in earnings would be substantial,” it said on Friday.

CIMB Research said Perisai’s management has stated it is set to remain on the Securities Commission’s shariah compliance list in the May 2015 review after a successful conversion of US$170mil of conventional loans into an Islamic facility in the final week of FY14.

“We continue to value the stock at 10.5 times CY16 P/E, still at a 30% discount to the oil & gas big caps,”  it said.

In the week of Dec 29, 2014, its management finalised the conversion of US$170mil of conventional loans for jack-up PP101 into an Islamic facility with no change in terms and rates and at a minimum paperwork charge.

With this development, Perisai is set to remain on the SC’s Shariah compliance list in the May 2015 review.   

“We are encouraged that management took the initiative to meet the SC’s requirement for shariah compliance. As at Sept 30, 2014, Perisai’s total borrowings amounted to RM1.1bil, of which most were conventional, while total assets were worth RM2.4bil,” it said.

CIMB Research said the company’s total conventional borrowings over total assets, therefore, stood at 47%, higher than the 33% threshold set by the SC.

After the conversion, Perisai’s total conventional borrowings over total assets should be reduced to an estimated 21% by  Dec 31, 2014, allowing the company to keep its Shariah-compliant status come May.  

Another industry player, SapuraKencana, is in the midst of converting an estimated RM8bil out of RM15.3bil in borrowings (as at July 31, 2014), of which all are conventional, into Islamic instruments...

As for Perisai, CIMB Research is maintaining its  Add call, with the deployment of Rubicone and E3 as potential re-rating catalysts.

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